Abstract Some provinces and cities are preparing for "ammunition" in preparation for 2015. On Monday, Sichuan launched a key project investment plan with a total investment of nearly 3 trillion yuan. This is the 14th province that has released the 2015 key project investment plan this year. Previously, Fujian, Hubei, Lake...
Some provinces and cities are preparing for "ammunition" in preparation for 2015. On Monday, Sichuan launched a key project investment plan with a total investment of nearly 3 trillion yuan. This is the 14th province that has released the 2015 key project investment plan this year. Previously, Fujian, Hubei, Hunan, Henan and other countries have announced the trillions of investment plans, Anhui, Ningxia, Guizhou, Guangxi, Xinjiang, Yunnan, Jiangsu, Zhejiang and other provinces have invested hundreds of billions this year. According to the rough statistics of the Shanghai Stock Exchange, the total investment scale of key projects in 14 provinces is over 15 trillion yuan. This figure has exceeded the total national fiscal revenue last year.
According to the investment directions announced by the provinces, transportation, energy, agriculture, forestry, water conservancy, information and other infrastructure construction, ecological and environmental protection, and people's livelihood are the key points. In addition, industrial transformation and upgrading is also the focus of investment, and many provinces have invested heavily in strategic emerging industries.
Three major investment themes: infrastructure, environmental protection, people's livelihood
On January 20, the National Bureau of Statistics announced that the national economic growth rate slowed to 7.4% in 2014, and then the 31 provinces nationwide announced their respective regional GDP. Except for Tibet's 12% reluctance to complete its economic growth target, all the remaining 30 provinces failed to meet their respective targets. Moreover, the provinces have emphasized in this year's government work report that the downward pressure on the economy this year is still relatively large. Therefore, “expanding effective investment†has become the starting point for steady growth.
Hunan and Fujian are the provinces that have released investment plans earlier. The Hunan Provincial Development and Reform Work Conference held on January 14th reported that Hunan Province will promote the “511†key investment plan this year with a total investment of 1 trillion yuan. On January 15, the Fujian provincial government revealed that the list of key provincial projects in 2015 has been confirmed, with a total of 490, with a total investment of 3.0435 billion yuan.
Subsequently, in the local two conferences held in succession, many provinces also clearly put forward the investment situation of key projects this year.
According to the report submitted by the Henan Provincial Development and Reform Commission to the two sessions of Henan Province on January 28, Henan Province plans to invest a total of 3.57 trillion yuan in 2015, of which 8,000 major projects are planned to complete 1.5 trillion investment. The report submitted by the Zhejiang Provincial Development and Reform Commission to the two provinces pointed out that the annual “411†major projects in the province will be promoted to about 960, with a planned investment of about 720 billion yuan.
In addition, Anhui, Jiangsu, Ningxia, Xinjiang, Guangxi, Yunnan, Guizhou, Hubei and other provinces have also released key project investment, with planned investment ranging from 200 billion yuan to 800 billion yuan.
Just entering February, the 2nd Sichuan Provincial Investment and Key Project Promotion Work Video Conference held on the 2nd, the total investment of 500 provincial key projects this year is 299.41 billion yuan, and the annual planned investment is 418.8 billion yuan.
The Shanghai Stock Exchange reporter combed the investment catalogues of key projects in various provinces and found that the provinces invariably aimed at infrastructure construction such as transportation, energy, agriculture, forestry, water conservancy and information, eco-environmental protection, and people's livelihood.
For example, the 3 trillion key investment projects in Fujian Province mainly involve agriculture, forestry, water conservancy, transportation, energy, urban and rural construction and ecological environmental protection; Jiangsu is expected to complete an investment of 490 billion yuan to increase the next generation of information infrastructure, energy storage facilities, Investment in transportation networks and agricultural water infrastructure.
The western provinces attach great importance to infrastructure investment. Guangxi's key projects this year invested 2008 billion yuan, including infrastructure investment of 98.4 billion, accounting for the largest proportion, followed by people's livelihood and social management, ecological and environmental protection; Xinjiang plans to invest more than 300 billion yuan for major water conservancy, transportation, energy and other projects; Yunnan will focus on supervising 20 major construction projects this year, with a total investment of 177.1 billion yuan. Among them, projects such as railways, highways and airports have invested 71.1 billion yuan, accounting for more than half of the total.
In addition, Tibet will start construction of 16 key projects this year, including 13 transportation and hydropower projects. Qinghai said that this year will focus on building five major support systems, namely transportation, energy, water conservancy, information and ecology, and continue to plan and start construction of a number of large projects.
Industrial transformation and upgrading is the highlight
Under the new economic normal, the central government further emphasizes the quality of economic growth, and the local investment structure also pays more attention to the investment in “industrial transformation and upgradingâ€, which is also a highlight of this year's key project investment.
From the perspective of Sichuan's key project investment plans, industrial investment is still the “main eventâ€, with 281 projects, accounting for 56.2% of the total. Among them, 74 strategic emerging industry projects were arranged around the transformation and upgrading, with an annual planned investment of 31.2 billion yuan.
In this year's key project investment in Zhejiang Province, the industrial transformation and upgrading investment and the infrastructure improvement investment are “evenly dividedâ€, and the investment in both categories exceeds 200 billion yuan.
Hubei will ensure the completion of investment of more than 2.9 trillion yuan this year, focusing on high-end manufacturing, high-tech industries, modern agriculture, modern service industries, environmental protection, infrastructure, urban underground pipe network transformation.
In addition, some provinces have also focused on key project investments directly in strategic emerging industries. Guizhou said that this year will actively cultivate and grow the five emerging industries and complete investment of 460 billion yuan. Including electronic information industry, pharmaceutical production and production industry, modern mountain high-efficiency agriculture, agricultural product processing industry, cultural tourism, new building materials industry.
In Beijing's investment planning, “high-tech†industry cultivation is one of the five major areas of investment in key projects. Another major area is the coordinated development of Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei.
From the list of key projects in Hebei Province announced on January 30th, Hebei is also a strategic emerging industry, especially manufacturing.
Where does the money come from? Local sword refers to PPP
At present, the local government key projects planned to invest more than 15 trillion yuan, which is higher than the national general public revenue of more than 14 trillion yuan last year. With such a large investment, where does the money come from?
"Although the keynote of the Central Economic Work Conference is a proactive fiscal policy, the local government is very difficult. After the No. 43 document, the local government financing channels have been greatly reduced. The weak real estate industry has led to a sharp decline in land sales revenue, and the real economy has led to taxation. Falling. Although local government bonds can be issued, the scale is too small!†Zhang Jun, a senior economist at Morgan Stanley Huaxin Securities, admitted in an interview with the Shanghai Stock Exchange that local finances are difficult to be active.
Local finances face multiple pressures. So where do you want to complete your investment plan? Many provinces have turned their eyes to private capital.
Ma Jinglin, deputy director of the Tibet Autonomous Region Development and Reform Commission, said that he would mobilize the enthusiasm of private investment and guide him to participate in the basic public service areas of Tibet, municipal public facilities, major basic design fields, and key industries. Construction and operation of the field.
The Zhejiang Provincial Development and Reform Commission emphasized that it should pay more attention to the reform of the investment and financing system and pay more attention to the role of private investment entities when deploying its action plan for the construction of the “411†major project.
Xie Jianhui, director of the Hunan Provincial Development and Reform Commission, pointed out that the province’s “1 trillion investment plan money came from†pointed out that the focus of funding is through reform and innovation, one is to reform the investment approval system, and the other is to innovate the investment and financing model. Capital and social capital investment.
Regarding how private capital enters, Xie Jianhui believes that “PPP is a way, equity financing is a way, asset securitization is also a way, and there are many other ways. As long as you feel that private capital can choose the cooperation mode or entry mode, you can ."
Although there are many ways to attract private capital, the provinces are more inclined to promote the PPP model. Not long ago, Hunan Province launched the first batch of 30 PPP demonstration projects to the society, with a total investment of 58.3 billion yuan, involving transportation infrastructure, ecological and environmental protection.
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