In the first two months, some machine tool industry insiders optimistically told the China Energy News that due to the growth in demand for downstream construction machinery and other products, the machine tool industry is recovering. But now, the judgment on the future of the machine tool industry has changed a lot. Analysts pointed out that with the shift of domestic macroeconomic policies, some strong-cycle varieties such as construction machinery and machine tools may face the risk of falling demand in the future, and the recovery trend of the machine tool industry may be terminated early. Under this situation, the pulling effect of energy equipment on the machine tool industry will be more obvious.
The machine tool industry has not completely gone out of the trough
According to the China Machinery Industry Federation, in the first three months of this year, the machinery industry grew by 43.48% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by about 3 percentage points from the previous month; exports increased by 25.56% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by about 6.5 percentage points.
Fu Caixia, an analyst with the national securities machinery industry, said that the recovery of the machine tool industry may be terminated early. According to her research, the sales value of the machine tool industry increased by 41.38% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by about 3.8 percentage points from the previous month. The export growth rate was 23.78%, and the growth rate dropped by about 2 percentage points. "We have been worried that the imprint of the 2009 economic recovery policy intervention is too deep. Once the policy turns to the recovery time of the compressor bed industry, our concerns are now becoming a reality." Fu Caixia said.
At the same time, some analysts believe that the economic operation of the machine tool industry is still at the bottom of the cycle, and the overall industry is difficult to reverse. Although since the end of 2008, China has implemented a proactive fiscal policy and a loose monetary policy in response to the financial crisis, accelerated infrastructure construction and promoted industrial upgrading, but for the machine tool industry, due to the continued deterioration of foreign markets, it partially offset the domestic recovery. The industry growth brought by this, coupled with the high proportion of low-end products and the lack of competitiveness of products, therefore, the overall reversal of the industry in 2010 is very difficult. At the same time, the rapid development of the energy industry, driving demand for energy equipment, is expected to inject a strong agent for the recovery of the machine tool industry.
Energy equipment has strong demand for machine tools
It is understood that large-scale power generation, power transmission and transformation equipment, large-scale petrochemical and coal chemical plants in the energy field require a large number of heavy-duty, precision, multi-coordinate, high-efficiency, special-purpose CNC machine tools for processing. One heavy, two heavy, Harbin and other energy equipment companies, many large key components must be produced by themselves, and there is a great demand for high-end machine tools.
According to the relevant personages of China Machine Tool Industry Association, the demand for CNC machine tools in the power equipment manufacturing industry is embodied in the turbine block, turbine rotor and blade of thermal power and nuclear power; generator stator and rotor; nuclear heat exchanger and orifice plate; Both the stator and the rotor of the hydro-generator base require heavy-duty machine tools.
Benefiting from the continuous growth of power grid investment, the power equipment industry will maintain a relatively fast growth rate in the next few years. It is expected that the power equipment industry will maintain a growth rate of around 20% in 2010. With the development of power equipment, the increased installed capacity of the power generation industry will drive heavy-duty machine tools such as heavy-duty CNC gantry boring and milling machines, heavy-duty CNC vertical lathes, heavy-duty CNC horizontal lathes, special milling machines for blade root grooves, and CNC machining equipment for blades. Demand for ultra-heavy machine tools.
In addition, at present, various power station equipment companies are intensifying technological transformation and adding milling machines for large and heavy equipment. There is a great demand for large CNC floor boring and milling machines with a diameter of more than 250 mm and a CNC vertical heavy-duty lathe with a diameter of 16 meters.
Long Xingyuan, chairman of Shaanxi Qinchuan Machine Tool Group Co., Ltd. believes that in addition to the equipment needed for traditional energy, the rise of the new energy industry will expand the application range of mechanical products, thus providing new market opportunities for processing equipment. The most obvious example is the development of the wind power industry for the demand for wind turbines and their components and the development of wind power processing equipment.
The reporter learned that at present, the overall design and load calculation capability of large-scale wind turbines in China is weak. The design and production capacity of control systems, generators, gearboxes and bearings are far from the advanced level of foreign countries. Key components such as control systems also need to be imported from abroad. One of the key factors of the restriction is that our manufacturing process and processing equipment are relatively backward.
Energy equipment promotes structural adjustment of the machine tool industry
In fact, the machine tool industry and the energy equipment industry are interdependent. On the one hand, machine tool as the "master machine" for equipment manufacturing is the fundamental guarantee for the upgrading of the energy equipment manufacturing industry. On the other hand, the energy equipment industry has a strong pulling effect on the machine tool industry, which can help the machine tool industry to recover quickly.
Or based on the consideration of energy equipment for the machine tool industry, last month, the military industry and energy equipment field of domestic CNC machine tool application forum was held in Nanjing. It is reported that the purpose of the meeting is to deepen the long-term cooperation mechanism between the machine tool industry and the military industry. The second is to establish a long-term cooperation mechanism between the energy equipment field and the machine tool industry.
Li Ye, director of the Energy Conservation and Technology Equipment Department of the National Energy Administration, said that in the process of structural adjustment and technological progress in the energy industry, it can stimulate the technological advancement of domestic machine tool products and domestic processing equipment. Under this opportunity, the machine tool industry cannot afford to miss any opportunity to drive industry adjustments and product upgrades. "We can learn from the successful experience of military industry, ask energy companies to talk about demand, talk about products to be processed, talk about processing technology and requirements, conduct supply and demand docking, and then determine demonstration projects and supporting units."
Zhou Jianping, director of the National Economic Mobilization Office of the National Development and Reform Commission, pointed out that machine tool enterprises should enhance their service awareness and realize the transformation from providing a single product to the society to providing complete sets of products and line-forming products for users, and finally become a supplier that provides a complete solution. Based on the optimization of key unit technologies, the development of proprietary technology.
Although energy equipment has a strong driving force for the machine tool industry, it also puts forward new requirements for the machine tool industry, that is, it must speed up product structure adjustment. Experts believe that as the market demand shifts to high-end, machine tool enterprises must pay special attention to the research and development of large-duty and high-end CNC machine tools while producing ordinary and low-end machine tools.
The machine tool industry has not completely gone out of the trough
According to the China Machinery Industry Federation, in the first three months of this year, the machinery industry grew by 43.48% year-on-year, and the growth rate dropped by about 3 percentage points from the previous month; exports increased by 25.56% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by about 6.5 percentage points.
Fu Caixia, an analyst with the national securities machinery industry, said that the recovery of the machine tool industry may be terminated early. According to her research, the sales value of the machine tool industry increased by 41.38% year-on-year, and the growth rate increased by about 3.8 percentage points from the previous month. The export growth rate was 23.78%, and the growth rate dropped by about 2 percentage points. "We have been worried that the imprint of the 2009 economic recovery policy intervention is too deep. Once the policy turns to the recovery time of the compressor bed industry, our concerns are now becoming a reality." Fu Caixia said.
At the same time, some analysts believe that the economic operation of the machine tool industry is still at the bottom of the cycle, and the overall industry is difficult to reverse. Although since the end of 2008, China has implemented a proactive fiscal policy and a loose monetary policy in response to the financial crisis, accelerated infrastructure construction and promoted industrial upgrading, but for the machine tool industry, due to the continued deterioration of foreign markets, it partially offset the domestic recovery. The industry growth brought by this, coupled with the high proportion of low-end products and the lack of competitiveness of products, therefore, the overall reversal of the industry in 2010 is very difficult. At the same time, the rapid development of the energy industry, driving demand for energy equipment, is expected to inject a strong agent for the recovery of the machine tool industry.
Energy equipment has strong demand for machine tools
It is understood that large-scale power generation, power transmission and transformation equipment, large-scale petrochemical and coal chemical plants in the energy field require a large number of heavy-duty, precision, multi-coordinate, high-efficiency, special-purpose CNC machine tools for processing. One heavy, two heavy, Harbin and other energy equipment companies, many large key components must be produced by themselves, and there is a great demand for high-end machine tools.
According to the relevant personages of China Machine Tool Industry Association, the demand for CNC machine tools in the power equipment manufacturing industry is embodied in the turbine block, turbine rotor and blade of thermal power and nuclear power; generator stator and rotor; nuclear heat exchanger and orifice plate; Both the stator and the rotor of the hydro-generator base require heavy-duty machine tools.
Benefiting from the continuous growth of power grid investment, the power equipment industry will maintain a relatively fast growth rate in the next few years. It is expected that the power equipment industry will maintain a growth rate of around 20% in 2010. With the development of power equipment, the increased installed capacity of the power generation industry will drive heavy-duty machine tools such as heavy-duty CNC gantry boring and milling machines, heavy-duty CNC vertical lathes, heavy-duty CNC horizontal lathes, special milling machines for blade root grooves, and CNC machining equipment for blades. Demand for ultra-heavy machine tools.
In addition, at present, various power station equipment companies are intensifying technological transformation and adding milling machines for large and heavy equipment. There is a great demand for large CNC floor boring and milling machines with a diameter of more than 250 mm and a CNC vertical heavy-duty lathe with a diameter of 16 meters.
Long Xingyuan, chairman of Shaanxi Qinchuan Machine Tool Group Co., Ltd. believes that in addition to the equipment needed for traditional energy, the rise of the new energy industry will expand the application range of mechanical products, thus providing new market opportunities for processing equipment. The most obvious example is the development of the wind power industry for the demand for wind turbines and their components and the development of wind power processing equipment.
The reporter learned that at present, the overall design and load calculation capability of large-scale wind turbines in China is weak. The design and production capacity of control systems, generators, gearboxes and bearings are far from the advanced level of foreign countries. Key components such as control systems also need to be imported from abroad. One of the key factors of the restriction is that our manufacturing process and processing equipment are relatively backward.
Energy equipment promotes structural adjustment of the machine tool industry
In fact, the machine tool industry and the energy equipment industry are interdependent. On the one hand, machine tool as the "master machine" for equipment manufacturing is the fundamental guarantee for the upgrading of the energy equipment manufacturing industry. On the other hand, the energy equipment industry has a strong pulling effect on the machine tool industry, which can help the machine tool industry to recover quickly.
Or based on the consideration of energy equipment for the machine tool industry, last month, the military industry and energy equipment field of domestic CNC machine tool application forum was held in Nanjing. It is reported that the purpose of the meeting is to deepen the long-term cooperation mechanism between the machine tool industry and the military industry. The second is to establish a long-term cooperation mechanism between the energy equipment field and the machine tool industry.
Li Ye, director of the Energy Conservation and Technology Equipment Department of the National Energy Administration, said that in the process of structural adjustment and technological progress in the energy industry, it can stimulate the technological advancement of domestic machine tool products and domestic processing equipment. Under this opportunity, the machine tool industry cannot afford to miss any opportunity to drive industry adjustments and product upgrades. "We can learn from the successful experience of military industry, ask energy companies to talk about demand, talk about products to be processed, talk about processing technology and requirements, conduct supply and demand docking, and then determine demonstration projects and supporting units."
Zhou Jianping, director of the National Economic Mobilization Office of the National Development and Reform Commission, pointed out that machine tool enterprises should enhance their service awareness and realize the transformation from providing a single product to the society to providing complete sets of products and line-forming products for users, and finally become a supplier that provides a complete solution. Based on the optimization of key unit technologies, the development of proprietary technology.
Although energy equipment has a strong driving force for the machine tool industry, it also puts forward new requirements for the machine tool industry, that is, it must speed up product structure adjustment. Experts believe that as the market demand shifts to high-end, machine tool enterprises must pay special attention to the research and development of large-duty and high-end CNC machine tools while producing ordinary and low-end machine tools.
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